Real-time market risk assessment combining crash indicators and growth probability
Crash Risk Level
Growth Probability
Overall Risk
Growth Positive
Growth Probability > 50% and Crash Risk ≤ 50%
Neutral Market
Mixed signals or both indicators ≤ 50%
Crash Risky
Crash Risk > 50% and Growth Probability ≤ 50%
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Recession Probability
Is a recession coming in 2026? See the live risk assessment
Buffett Indicator
Market cap to GDP — Warren Buffett's favorite metric
Yield Curve
10Y-2Y Treasury spread — 98% recession accuracy
Shiller PE Ratio
CAPE ratio — 10-year smoothed valuation
US Dollar Index
DXY dollar strength against major currencies
Money Supply (M2)
M2 money supply growth and market liquidity
Real Interest Rates
Inflation-adjusted rates driving markets
Market risk assessment • crash risk indicators • growth probability analysis • economic indicators • market sentiment • financial risk monitoring • investment decision support • real-time market data • recession prediction • market trend analysis • real interest rates • economic forecasting
Market risk data is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Not intended as investment advice or trading recommendations. Market conditions can change rapidly.
Created by taiberium.me